Category
1: Demographic Shifts
Demographic
shifts refer to changes in various aspects of population statistics, such as
size, racial and ethnic makeup, birth and mortality rates, geographic
distribution, age and income.
Megatrend: Aging
population
Trends: buying
habits, elder care, health care, workforce gaps when baby boomers retire
Megatrend: Immigration/diversity
Trends: government
service provision, capacity to fill gaps in workforce
Megatrend: Population
growth
Trends: demands
and effects on land, climate, water, government resources, schools
Megatrend: Suburbanization/sprawl
Trends: demands
and effects on land, climate, water supply, small business, entrepreneurship,
government resources
Category
2: Changes in Political Conditions
Changes
in political conditions refer to dynamics related to the process of electing
officials as well as process of formulating and implementing public policy and
programs.
Megatrend: Election
issues
Trends:
campaign
finance reform, redistricting, term limits
Megatrend: Federalism
Trends:
distribution
of authority from one presidency and Congress to another, impact of
federal
policies on state governments (including international trade agreements)
Megatrend: Participatory
democracy
Trends: voting
systems (including e-voting), lobbying, initiatives, referendums
Megatrend: Privatization/outsourcing
Trends: private
companies providing public services, sending jobs overseas
Category
3: Science and Technology Developments
Science
and technology developments are advancements in both scientific research and
applications of that research.
Megatrend: Bioengineering
Trends: DNA,
stem cell research, cloning, genetic engineering
Megatrend: Energy sources
Trends: development
of alternative energy sources
Megatrend: Privacy
and security issues
Trends:
wireless tracking, identity theft, cyber
terrorism
Megatrend: Electronic
delivery of goods/services
Trends:
e-commerce, e-government
Category
4: Economic Dynamics
Economic
dynamics are changes in the production and exchange of goods and services both
within
and between nations as well as movements in the overall economy such as prices,
output,
unemployment,
banking, capital and wealth.
Megatrend: Globalization of trade
Trends: outsourcing,
offshoring, free trade agreements, prescription drug reimportation
Megatrend: Energy supply
Trends:
price
increases, availability
Megatrend: Intellectual
property
Trends: standardization
of local, state, national and international regulations
Megatrend: Retirement
issues
Trends:
move away from defined benefit plans, pension
shortfall, Social Security
Category
5: Social and Cultural Shifts
Social
and cultural shifts are changes in core values, beliefs, ethics and moral
standards that direct peoples’ behavior and can influence their participation
in the formulation of public policy.
Megatrend: Government
involvement in social policy
Trends: gay
marriage, abortion, separation of church and state issues
Megatrend: Redefinition
of family and role of family
Trends: single-headed
households, unmarried couples, home schooling
Megatrend: Redefinition
of morality
Trends: re-evaluating
definition of indecency, censorship issues
Megatrend: Spirituality
Trends: homeopathic
medicine, spiritual beliefs may be different than religious beliefs
Megatrend: Assimilation
Trends: shift from acculturation to
maintaining ethnic identities
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